Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000275 0.000308 0.000344 0.000385 0.000432 0.000484 0.000545
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000210 0.000255 0.000309 0.000378 0.000464 0.000568 0.000703
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000176 0.000228 0.000294 0.000383 0.000504 0.000660 0.000881
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000152 0.000207 0.000281 0.000387 0.000537 0.000745 0.001058
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000128 0.000182 0.000257 0.000369 0.000538 0.000783 0.001172
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000115 0.000169 0.000248 0.000371 0.000564 0.000858 0.001351
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000108 0.000164 0.000249 0.000387 0.000613 0.000973 0.001606
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000096 0.000151 0.000236 0.000379 0.000622 0.001024 0.001763
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000085 0.000136 0.000218 0.000361 0.000611 0.001040 0.001859
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000079 0.000130 0.000214 0.000365 0.000638 0.001125 0.002091
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000076 0.000129 0.000218 0.000383 0.000691 0.001260 0.002435
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000070 0.000121 0.000209 0.000377 0.000700 0.001316 0.002635
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000065 0.000115 0.000203 0.000376 0.000720 0.001397 0.002904
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000059 0.000107 0.000194 0.000369 0.000726 0.001454 0.003131
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000056 0.000103 0.000192 0.000374 0.000758 0.001565 0.003501
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000099 0.000188 0.000377 0.000786 0.001674 0.003882
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000091 0.000176 0.000360 0.000769 0.001682 0.004024
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000088 0.000173 0.000362 0.000793 0.001786 0.004422
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000044 0.000087 0.000176 0.000378 0.000851 0.001977 0.005079
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000041 0.000082 0.000169 0.000370 0.000853 0.002032 0.005385
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000037 0.000076 0.000158 0.000352 0.000829 0.002020 0.005500
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000035 0.000074 0.000157 0.000356 0.000859 0.002150 0.006050
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000035 0.000074 0.000160 0.000373 0.000923 0.002380 0.006940